NEW DELHI: Tattalin arzikin Indiya mai rauni da masana'antu waɗanda ke dogaro da ɗanyen mai kamar su jiragen sama, jigilar kaya, titina da sufurin jirgin ƙasa na iya samun riba daga faduwar farashin ɗanyen mai kwatsam sakamakon barkewar cutar sankara a China, mafi girman mai a duniya. mai shigo da kaya, inji masana tattalin arziki, manyan jami'ai da masana.
Tare da masana'antu daban-daban da ke daidaita dabarun su a cikin hasashen buƙatun makamashi da ake raguwa sakamakon barkewar cutar sankara, manyan masu shigo da mai kamar Indiya suna neman yin ciniki mai kyau.Indiya ita ce kasa ta uku a jerin masu shigo da mai a duniya kuma ta hudu mafi yawan masu sayen iskar gas (LNG).
Kasuwar mai a halin yanzu tana fuskantar wani yanayi mai suna contango, inda farashin tabo ya yi ƙasa da kwangilolin da za a yi a gaba.
Kididdigar da hukumomi da yawa suka yi na nuna cewa bukatar danyen mai na Q1 na kasar Sin zai ragu da kashi 15-20%, wanda zai haifar da raguwar bukatar danyen mai a duniya.Wannan yana nunawa a cikin farashin danyen mai da LNG, waɗanda duka ba su da kyau ga Indiya.Wannan zai taimaka wa Indiya a cikin ma'aunin tattalin arzikinta ta hanyar ƙunshe da gibin asusu na yanzu, kiyaye tsarin musanya na yau da kullun da kuma hauhawar farashin kayayyaki, "in ji Debasish Mishra, abokin tarayya a Deloitte India.
Hukumar Kula da Makamashi ta Duniya (IEA) da kungiyar kasashe masu arzikin man fetur (Opec) sun yanke hasashen karuwar bukatar mai a duniya biyo bayan barkewar cutar Coronavirus.
Mishra ta kara da cewa "bangaro kamar su jirgin sama, fenti, tukwane, wasu kayayyakin masana'antu, da sauransu za su amfana daga tsarin farashi mara kyau," in ji Mishra.
Indiya babbar cibiyar tace matatun Asiya ce, tare da shigar da sama da tan miliyan 249.4 a kowace shekara (mtpa) ta hanyar matatun mai 23.Farashin kwandon danyen mai na Indiya, wanda ya kai $56.43 da $69.88 kowace ganga a cikin FY18 da FY19, bi da bi, ya kai dala $65.52 a watan Disamba 2019, bisa ga bayanai daga Salon Tsare-tsaren Man Fetur da Nazari.Farashin ya kasance $54.93 ganga a ranar 13 ga Fabrairu.Kwandon Indiya yana wakiltar matsakaicin Oman, Dubai da Brent.
"A baya, farashin mai mara kyau ya ga ribar kamfanonin jiragen sama na inganta sosai," in ji Kinjal Shah, mataimakin shugaban kima na kamfanoni a hukumar kima ta ICRA Ltd.
A cikin koma bayan tattalin arziki, masana'antar tafiye-tafiye ta Indiya ta sami karuwar zirga-zirgar fasinjoji da kashi 3.7% a shekarar 2019 zuwa fasinjoji miliyan 144.
"Wannan na iya zama lokaci mai kyau don kamfanonin jiragen sama su gyara asarar da aka yi.Kamfanonin jiragen sama na iya amfani da wannan don dawo da asarar da aka yi, yayin da matafiya za su iya amfani da wannan lokacin don tsara balaguron balaguro saboda farashin tikitin jirgin zai zama abokantaka na aljihu," in ji Mark Martin, wanda ya kafa kuma Shugaba a Martin Consulting Llc, mai ba da shawara kan harkokin jiragen sama.
Barkewar cutar Coronavirus a China ya tilastawa kamfanonin makamashi da ke can dakatar da kwangilar bayarwa tare da rage kayan aiki.Wannan ya shafi farashin mai a duniya da kuma farashin jigilar kayayyaki.Rikicin kasuwanci da tafiyar hawainiyar tattalin arzikin duniya su ma sun yi kaurin suna a kasuwannin makamashi.
Jami'ai a hukumar kula da sinadarai ta Indiya, wata kungiyar masana'antu, ta ce Indiya ta dogara da kasar Sin wajen samun sinadarai masu daraja, inda kaso 10-40% na kasar ke shigo da su daga waje.Bangaren man petrochemical yana aiki a matsayin kashin bayan masana'antu daban-daban da sassan masana'antu da ba na masana'antu kamar kayayyakin more rayuwa, motoci, yadudduka da mabukaci.
“Ana shigo da kayayyaki iri-iri da masu shiga tsakani daga kasar Sin.Ko da yake, ya zuwa yanzu, kamfanonin da ke shigo da waɗannan ba su da tasiri sosai, kayan aikin su yana bushewa.Don haka, za su iya jin wani tasiri a gaba idan lamarin bai inganta ba, "in ji Sudhir Shenoy, shugaban kasar kuma Shugaba na Dow Chemical International Pvt.Ltd.
Wannan na iya amfanar masu samar da sinadarai na roba, lantarki na graphite, baƙin carbon, rini da pigments saboda ƙananan shigo da kayayyaki na kasar Sin na iya tilasta masu amfani da ƙarshen su samo su a cikin gida.
Rage farashin danyen mai ya kuma kawo albishir ga asusun gwamnati sakamakon karancin kudaden shiga da kuma kara gibin kasafin kudi.Idan aka yi la’akari da yadda ake samun bunkasuwar tara kudaden shiga, Ministan Kudi Nirmala Sitharaman, yayin da yake gabatar da kasafin kudin kungiyar, ya yi kira ga batun tserewa don daukar mataki mai tushe 50 a cikin gibin kasafin kudi na shekarar 2019-20, tare da daukar kiyasin da aka yi bita zuwa kashi 3.8% na GDP.
Gwamnan RBI Shaktikanta Das a ranar Asabar ya ce raguwar farashin mai zai yi tasiri mai kyau kan hauhawar farashin kayayyaki.“Babban tashin hankali yana fitowa ne daga hauhawar farashin abinci, wato, kayan lambu da kayan abinci mai gina jiki.Haɓakar hauhawar farashin kayayyaki ta ɗan ɗan tashi saboda sake fasalin jadawalin kuɗin fito na sadarwa,” in ji shi.
Dangane da raguwar masana'antun masana'antu, kayan masana'antar Indiya sun yi kwangila a cikin Disamba, yayin da hauhawar farashin kayayyaki ya karu a wata na shida a jere a cikin Janairu, wanda ke haifar da shakku game da shirin farfado da tattalin arzikin da ke tasowa.Ofishin Kididdiga na Kasa ya kiyasta ci gaban tattalin arzikin Indiya zai yi kasa da shekaru 11 da kashi 5% a cikin 2019-2020 a bayan ci gaba da saka hannun jari.
Madan Sabnavis, babban masanin tattalin arziki a CARE Ratings, ya ce rage farashin mai ya kasance albarka ga Indiya."Duk da haka, ba za a iya kawar da matsin lamba na sama ba, tare da wasu raguwa da OPec da sauran ƙasashe masu fitar da kayayyaki ke tsammanin.Don haka, ya kamata mu mai da hankali kan yadda za a kara fitar da kayayyaki zuwa kasashen waje, da kuma duba yadda za a yi amfani da abin da ya haifar da raguwar farashin mai, wato cutar korona, da tura kayayyakinmu zuwa kasar Sin, tare da neman hanyoyin da za a bi wajen samar da kayayyaki.An yi sa’a, saboda tsayuwar jarin da ake samu, matsin lamba a kan kudin ba abu ne mai wahala ba,” ya kara da cewa.
Damuwa da halin da ake ciki na bukatar mai, OPec na iya ci gaba da taronta na 5-6 Maris, tare da kwamitinta na fasaha ya ba da shawarar yanke na wucin gadi ga tsarin OPec +.
"Saboda ingantaccen kasuwancin da ake shigo da shi daga Gabas, tasirin tasirin kwantena kamar JNPT (Jawaharlal Nehru Port Trust) zai kasance mai girma, yayin da tasirin tashar tashar tashar Mundra za ta iyakance," in ji Jagannarayan Padmanabhan, darektan da kuma jagorar aikin sufuri da kuma gudanar da ayyuka. dabaru a Crisil Infrastructure Advisory."Bangaren juyayi shine cewa wasu masana'antun na iya canzawa daga China zuwa Indiya na ɗan lokaci."
Yayin da hauhawar farashin danyen mai sakamakon tashin hankalin da ke tsakanin Amurka da Iran ya kasance na ɗan gajeren lokaci, barkewar cutar sankara ta coronavirus da raguwar fitarwar da ƙasashen OPec ke yi ya haifar da wani yanayi na rashin tabbas.
“Duk da cewa farashin man fetur ya yi kadan, amma farashin canji (rupe da dala) na karuwa, wanda kuma ke haifar da tsadar kayayyaki.Muna jin daɗi lokacin da rupee ke kusan 65-70 akan dala.Tunda yawancin kudaden da muke kashewa, gami da na man jiragen sama, ana biyansu ne da dala, musayar kasashen waje wani muhimmin al'amari ne na farashinmu, "in ji wani babban jami'in gudanarwa a wani kamfanin jirgin sama na kasafin kudi na New Delhi bisa sharadin boye sunansa.
Tabbas, sake komawa cikin buƙatar mai na iya sake tayar da farashin da zai iya haifar da hauhawar farashin kaya da cutar da buƙatu.
Har ila yau, hauhawar farashin mai yana da tasiri kai tsaye ta hanyar hakowa da tsadar kayayyaki da kuma yin matsin lamba kan hauhawar farashin abinci.Duk wani ƙoƙari na rage nauyi a kan masu amfani da shi ta hanyar rage harajin harajin man fetur da dizal zai kawo cikas ga tattara kudaden shiga.
Ravindra Sonavane, Kalpana Pathak, Asit Ranjan Mishra, Shreya Nandi, Rhik Kundu, Navadha Pandey da Gireesh Chandra Prasad sun ba da gudummawa ga wannan labarin.
Yanzu an yi rajistar ku zuwa wasikunmu.Idan ba za ku iya samun imel daga gefenmu ba, da fatan za a duba babban fayil ɗin spam.
Lokacin aikawa: Afrilu-28-2021