NEW DELHI: Tattalin arzikin Indiya mai rauni da masana'antu waɗanda ke dogaro da ɗanyen mai kamar su jiragen sama, jigilar kaya, titina da sufurin jirgin ƙasa na iya samun riba daga faduwar farashin ɗanyen mai kwatsam sakamakon barkewar cutar Coronavirus a China, babbar mai shigo da mai a duniya, in ji masana tattalin arziki, manyan shuwagabanni da masana.
Tare da masana'antu daban-daban da ke daidaita dabarun su a cikin hasashen buƙatun makamashi da ake raguwa sakamakon barkewar cutar sankara, manyan masu shigo da mai kamar Indiya suna neman yin ciniki mai kyau. Indiya ita ce kasa ta uku a duniya wajen shigo da mai kuma ta hudu mafi yawan masu sayen iskar gas (LNG).
Kasuwar mai a halin yanzu tana fuskantar wani yanayi mai suna contango, inda farashin tabo ya yi ƙasa da kwangilolin da za a yi a gaba.
Kiyasin da hukumomi da yawa suka yi na nuna cewa bukatar danyen mai na kasar Sin Q1 zai ragu da kashi 15-20%, wanda hakan zai haifar da raguwar bukatar danyen mai a duniya. Deloitte India.
Hukumar Kula da Makamashi ta Duniya (IEA) da kungiyar kasashe masu arzikin man fetur (Opec) sun rage hasashen karuwar bukatar mai a duniya biyo bayan barkewar cutar Coronavirus.
Mishra ta kara da cewa "bangaro kamar su jirgin sama, fenti, tukwane, wasu kayayyakin masana'antu, da sauransu za su amfana daga tsarin farashi mara kyau," in ji Mishra.
Indiya babbar cibiyar tace matatun Asiya ce, tare da shigar da sama da tan miliyan 249.4 a kowace shekara (mtpa) ta hanyar matatun mai 23. Farashin kwandon danyen mai na Indiya, wanda ya kai $56.43 da $69.88 kowace ganga a cikin FY18 da FY19, bi da bi, ya kai dala $65.52 a watan Disamba 2019, bisa ga bayanai daga Salon Tsare-tsaren Man Fetur da Nazari. Farashin ya kasance $54.93 kan ganga a ranar 13 ga Fabrairu. Kwandon Indiya yana wakiltar matsakaicin Oman, Dubai da Brent.
"A baya, farashin mai mara kyau ya ga ribar kamfanonin jiragen sama na inganta sosai," in ji Kinjal Shah, mataimakin shugaban kima na kamfanoni a hukumar kima ta ICRA Ltd.
A cikin koma bayan tattalin arziki, masana'antar tafiye-tafiye ta Indiya ta ga karuwar zirga-zirgar fasinja da kashi 3.7% a shekarar 2019 zuwa fasinjoji miliyan 144.
"Wannan na iya zama lokaci mai kyau ga kamfanonin jiragen sama don gyara asarar da aka yi. Jiragen sama na iya amfani da wannan don dawo da asarar, yayin da matafiya za su iya amfani da wannan lokacin don tsara tafiye-tafiye kamar yadda farashin tikitin jirgin sama zai zama mafi kyawun aljihu," in ji Mark Martin, wanda ya kafa kuma Shugaba a Martin Consulting Llc, mai ba da shawara kan harkokin sufurin jiragen sama.
Barkewar cutar Coronavirus a China ya tilastawa kamfanonin makamashi da ke can dakatar da kwangilar bayarwa tare da rage kayan aiki. Wannan ya shafi farashin mai a duniya da kuma farashin jigilar kayayyaki. Rikicin kasuwanci da tafiyar hawainiyar tattalin arziƙin duniya su ma sun yi kaurin suna a kasuwannin makamashi.
Jami'ai a hukumar kula da sinadarai ta Indiya, wata kungiyar masana'antu, ta ce Indiya ta dogara da kasar Sin wajen samun sinadarai masu daraja, inda kaso 10-40% na kasar ke shigo da su daga waje. Bangaren sinadarai na petrochemical yana aiki a matsayin kashin baya ga sassa daban-daban na masana'antu da na masana'antu kamar kayayyakin more rayuwa, motoci, yadi da abubuwan da suka dace.
Sudhir Shenoy, shugaban kasar kuma Shugaba na Dow Chemical International Pvt ya ce "Ana shigo da kayan albarkatun kasa iri-iri da masu shiga tsakani daga kasar Sin. Ko da yake ya zuwa yanzu, kamfanonin da ke shigo da wadannan ba su da tasiri sosai, hanyoyin samar da kayayyaki suna bushewa. Ltd.
Wannan na iya amfanar masu samar da sinadarai na roba, lantarki na graphite, baƙin carbon, rini da pigments saboda ƙananan shigo da kayayyaki na kasar Sin na iya tilasta masu amfani da ƙarshen su samo su a cikin gida.
Rage farashin danyen man fetur kuma yana kawo albishir ga asusun gwamnati sakamakon karancin kudaden shiga da kuma kara gibin kasafin kudi. Ganin yadda ake samun ci gaba a cikin tarin kudaden shiga, Ministan Kudi Nirmala Sitharaman, yayin da yake gabatar da kasafin kudin kungiyar, ya yi kira ga batun tserewa don daukar mataki mai tushe 50 a cikin gibin kasafin kudi na shekarar 2019-20, tare da daukar kiyasin da aka yi bita zuwa kashi 3.8% na GDP.
Gwamnan RBI Shaktikanta Das a ranar Asabar ya ce raguwar farashin mai zai yi tasiri mai kyau kan hauhawar farashin kayayyaki. "Babban tashin hankali yana fitowa ne daga hauhawar farashin abinci, wato, kayan lambu da kayan abinci mai gina jiki, hauhawar farashin kayayyaki ya dan ragu sosai saboda sake fasalin jadawalin farashin sadarwa," in ji shi.
Dangane da raguwar masana'antun masana'antu, kayan masana'antar Indiya sun yi kwangila a cikin Disamba, yayin da hauhawar farashin kayayyaki ya karu a wata na shida a jere a cikin Janairu, wanda ke haifar da shakku kan tsarin farfado da tattalin arzikin da ke tasowa. Ofishin Kididdiga na Kasa ya kiyasta ci gaban tattalin arzikin Indiya zai yi kasa da shekaru 11 da kashi 5% a cikin 2019-2020 a baya na rashin ci gaba da bukatar saka hannun jari.
Madan Sabnavis, babban masanin tattalin arziki a CARE Ratings, ya ce rage farashin mai ya kasance albarka ga Indiya. "Duk da haka, ba za a iya kawar da matsin lamba zuwa sama ba, tare da wasu raguwa da OPec da sauran kasashe masu fitar da kayayyaki ke sa ran. Don haka, muna bukatar mu mai da hankali kan yadda za a kara fitar da kayayyaki zuwa kasashen waje da kuma neman yin amfani da dalilin rage farashin mai, wato coronavirus, da kuma tura kayayyakinmu zuwa kasar Sin, yayin da muke neman madadin masu ba da kayayyaki kan shigo da kayayyaki.
Dangane da halin da ake ciki na bukatar man fetur, OPec na iya ci gaba da taronta na Maris 5-6, tare da kwamitinta na fasaha ya ba da shawarar yanke na wucin gadi ga tsarin OPec +.
"Saboda ingantaccen kasuwancin da ake shigo da su daga Gabas, tasirin tasirin kwantena kamar JNPT (Jawaharlal Nehru Port Trust) zai kasance mai girma, yayin da tasirin tashar tashar tashar Mundra za ta iyakance," in ji Jagannarayan Padmanabhan, darektan da jagoranci na sufuri da dabaru a Mashawarcin Infrastructure na Crisil. "Bangaren juyayi shine cewa wasu masana'antun na iya canzawa daga China zuwa Indiya na ɗan lokaci."
Yayin da hauhawar farashin danyen man fetur sakamakon tashin hankalin da ke tsakanin Amurka da Iran ya kasance na ɗan gajeren lokaci, barkewar cutar sankara ta coronavirus da raguwar fitarwar da ƙasashen OPec ke yi ya haifar da wani yanayi na rashin tabbas.
"Ko da yake farashin mai ya ragu, farashin canji (rupe akan dala) yana karuwa, wanda kuma ke haifar da farashi mai yawa. Muna jin dadi lokacin da rupee ya kusan 65-70 akan dala. Tun da yawancin kudaden da muke kashewa, ciki har da na man fetur na jirgin sama, ana biya a cikin dala, musayar waje wani muhimmin al'amari ne na farashin mu, "in ji wani babban jami'in gudanarwa a wani kamfanin jirgin sama na New Delhi.
Tabbas, sake dawo da bukatar mai na iya sake tayar da farashin da zai iya haifar da hauhawar farashin kayayyaki da cutar da bukatar.
Har ila yau, hauhawar farashin mai yana da tasiri kai tsaye ta hanyar haɓaka haƙori da tsadar sufuri da kuma yin matsin lamba kan hauhawar farashin abinci. Duk wani yunƙuri na rage nauyi a kan masu amfani da shi ta hanyar rage harajin haƙoƙin man fetur da dizal zai kawo cikas ga tara kudaden shiga.
Ravindra Sonavane, Kalpana Pathak, Asit Ranjan Mishra, Shreya Nandi, Rhik Kundu, Navadha Pandey da Gireesh Chandra Prasad sun ba da gudummawa ga wannan labarin.
Yanzu an yi rajistar ku zuwa wasikunmu. Idan ba za ku iya samun imel daga gefenmu ba, da fatan za a duba babban fayil ɗin spam.
Lokacin aikawa: Afrilu-28-2021